Three Percent Population The Demographic Shift
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New Low in Attendance 15

Fewer Dynamic Churches

By 2018 A.D. we will have become a denomination similar to the Episcopal Church in the United States, which represents three percent population. Today's mainline Anglican Church is currently supported by ten to fourteen percent of Canadians, according to Statistics Canada but I would forecast it will shrink to three percent population as in the U.S.A. Between now and 2018 A.D., about two-thirds of the Anglican Church in the Diocese of Toronto will be closed. One Anglican Church in one town will become a reality but not a necessity - there may not be any. As happens now, people will drive past numerous church buildings to the one of their liking.

Fewer Churches, Clergy, Congregations

The number of suburban churches will be slashed. City churches will probably fare better. Not that they will have large enough congregations, but that they may have other substantial resources to sustain them including air rights moneys or valuable property to sell, etc. The Diocese of Toronto will have a few large, some medium but not as many small congregations drawn from three percent population. All will have lower incomes and fewer leaders. Those without large financial reserves will be unable to continue. Smaller modern churches with low overheads will probably last longer than larger stone buildings with higher maintenance costs. The Diocese will be unable to offer substantial financial help for failing churches.

"Three Percent Population"
by Ron Meacock © 2017

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